Trump Leads Biden In These Key Battleground States

There are just over four months left until the election and a new survey in several battleground states shows that former President Donald Trump is ahead of President Joe Biden.

In Wisconsin, 47% of people who answered said they would vote for President Trump and 44% said they would vote for Vice President Biden. Nine percent of those who answered weren’t sure. Because of how he handled the war in Gaza, Biden has lost support in the state among the most extreme Democrats.

Republicans want to replace Senator Tammy Baldwin with Eric Hovde, who supports Trump. The poll found that he was only two percentage points behind Baldwin.

Roughly 47 percent of people in Pennsylvania chose Trump over Biden (47 percent vs. 45 percent), and 7 percent weren’t sure. David McCormick, a Republican Senate candidate who has Trump’s support, is six percentage points behind Democratic incumbent Senator Bob Casey.

However, he could use Trump’s support on election day to win the spot for the Republicans.

With no leader having an edge, the race will be very close. Amy Klobuchar, a Democrat from Minnesota, is running for re-election, but her opponent is already behind by more than ten points.

In Arizona, Trump was ahead by four percentage points, and 47% of people who answered said they would vote for the 45th president on November 5. 43% said they wouldn’t decide yet, and 10% said they would vote for Biden.

In Georgia, Trump also won by four percentage points over Biden, but a huge 14% of voters said they still weren’t sure.

In Nevada, 46% of people who answered the report supported Trump, 43% supported Biden, and 12% were not sure.

A separate new poll found that Trump leads President Biden by twice his margin of victory in the Lone Star State four years ago in the contest for Texas’ 40 electoral votes, according to a new poll.

A Marist College survey shows Republican Sen. Ted Cruz leading Democratic opponent Rep. Colin Allred by six points in a crucial Senate contest as the GOP looks to recapture the majority in the chamber in November’s elections.

In 2020, Trump defeated Biden in Texas by about 5.5 points, the narrowest victory margin for a Republican presidential candidate in a deeply red state in almost 25 years.

“Independents, who Biden carried by 6 percentage points in 2020, now break for Trump. Trump receives 56% of Texas independents to 41% for Biden,” the release from Marist highlights.

According to the poll, Trump has significantly increased his support among black and Latino voters, while Biden appears to have lost ground with younger voters.

According to the survey, Trump is leading Biden by 48%, Kennedy is trailing at 15%, and Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a Democrat who turned independent, is among the three potential presidential candidates.

With 27% of voters, immigration was the most pressing concern in Texas, a state that borders Mexico by 1,254 miles.

The survey found that maintaining democracy (ranked first at 24%) and inflation (ranked second at 26%) were the two most important issues.

Polling has not been good for Biden this month.

According to a recent poll by The New York Times and Siena College, 48 percent of Americans would vote for Trump if the 2024 race were held now and just Trump and Biden were on the ticket.

Roughly 42 percent of the 1,226 registered voters polled said they would vote for Biden, while 10 percent said they “don’t know” or “refused” to vote.

Preliminary polling leading up to the November election indicates that both candidates will likely face off in a head-to-head race for a second term in office. In recent months, Trump has performed better in important swing states like Georgia and Pennsylvania, both of which voted blue in the 2020 election. However, Biden looks to have a hold on young voters, who have played an important role in Democrats’ election victories in recent years.

According to research site FiveThirtyEight, regarded as one of the best pollsters in the country, the most recent New York Times/Siena College poll revealed that people overwhelmingly oppose either candidate’s second term. Nearly 60% rate Biden as “somewhat unfavorable” or “very unfavorable.” Approximately 52% expressed the same thing about Trump.

While both candidates face criticism from their respective parties, Trump appears to have a firm hold on Republican voters. Despite the former president’s conviction last month on 34 felony counts of manipulating business documents, 68 percent of respondents indicated it had no impact on their vote.

Polling has not been good for Biden lately.

Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, revealed that “voters who think the cost of living is rising support Trump over Biden, 56% to 32%.”

Kimball added: “Income perception aligns with candidate preference, with those feeling their income is far below average favoring Trump 50% to 32% and those feeling it’s far above average favoring Biden 55% to 29%.”

Trump has 46% of the vote, compared to 43% for Biden, according to the Emerson College poll. Since Emerson’s survey from earlier this month, Biden has seen a two-point decline. In contrast, Trump kept his 46% of the vote.

Emerson also examined how voters are attracted to Biden or Trump based on the number of hours they put in at work each week.

Not even close, for those who work the hardest to make a living.

From Emerson: “Analysis of voter work hours reveals distinct candidate preferences. Non-workers are evenly split: 45% support Trump, 44% Biden. Those working 30 hours or less favor Biden over Trump (52% to 37%), while those in the 30-40 hour bracket are divided (45% Biden, 43% Trump). Trump gains support among those working 40-60 hours, with increasing margins as hours increase, peaking at 80% for those working over 60 hours, compared to 7% for Biden.”

Below are some more of the topline findings from the Emerson poll:

–On a ballot test including independent candidates, 44% support Trump, 40% Biden, 8% Robert Kennedy Jr., and 1% Cornel West; 8% are undecided.

–Kennedy Jr. has the support of 13% of independent voters, 12% of voters under 30, and 9% of Black voters.

–In a hypothetical ballot test for the 2024 U.S. congressional elections, a generic congressional Democrat and Republican are tied at 45%, while 11% are undecided.

–Among undecided voters in the presidential election, 31% support the Democratic congressional candidate, and 19% the Republican; 50% are undecided in the generic congressional election.

–The economy is the top issue for 36% of voters, followed by immigration at 21%, threats to democracy at 10%, healthcare at 9%, abortion access at 7%, and crime at 6%.

–Compared with American families in general, 44% of voters think their family income is average, while 38% think it is below average, and 18% think their family income is above average.