Poll Shows Increase In Black Voters For Trump

Written by Carmine Sabia

OPINION: This article contains commentary which reflects the author's opinion

Former Vice President Joe Biden, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee, just got some devastating news from black voters.

Not only is Biden lagging behind Hillary Clinton in support among black voters, and they are not all in for her by any stretch, President Donald Trump has gained significantly among them causing, what would be, a seismic shift in support, Breitbart reported.

The shift could be enough in and of itself to bring the president a victory in November and keep him in the White House thanks to black voters.

The poll, which was conducted nationwide and released on Monday showed that the former vice president is underperforming compared to past Democrat nominees as it pertains to black voters.

The poll, done by John Zogby Strategies and EMI Research Solutions, surveyed 1,000 voters nationally, showed that a mere 77 percent of black voters said they are definitely voting for Biden in the general election.

It also showed that 14 percent of black voters are going to support President Trump, with nine percent saying they are still undecided.

That leaves 23 percent of black voters potentially voting for President Trump, though it would be ridiculous to assume he should get all nine percent of them.

Even if he got a mere two percent of them it would give him 16 percent of the black vote. The last time a Republican flirted with those numbers was President Gerald Ford in 1976, Politico reported.

President Trump only garnered eight percent of the black vote in 2016 and a shift of this magnitude would crush Biden.

As Breitbart stated, the black vote was a major reason President Trump defeated Hillary Clinton in 2016 and then he only had single digit support.

If accurate, the numbers pose a major problem for Biden and his party moving into the general election. Most Democrat strategists point to a drop-off in black turnout between 2012 and 2016 as the primary reason for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton lost.

During that race, Clinton received 88 percent of the black vote, according to exit polls. Although impressive, the numbers were significantly lower than the 93 percent former President Barack Obama garnered on his way to reelection in 2012.

The drop-off was most significant in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—states that went narrowly for Trump in that election after having backed Democrats at the presidential level for nearly three decades. For example, data from the Michigan secretary of state’s office indicates Clinton received 75,000 fewer votes in Wayne County—where Detroit is located—than Obama did in 2012. Even though Clinton still won the country by a substantial margin, the decrease in support ensured Clinton lost the state to Trump, who made strong inroads with white working-class voters, by more than 10,000 votes.

Many believe that if black turnout was the same in 2016 as it was in 2012, Clinton would have won the presidency, despite Trump’s populist appeal to blue-collar whites. As such, Democrats are pushing Biden to do everything possible to hit the 2012 margins, starting with tapping a woman of color as his running mate.

Having a black woman as his running mate is near a forgone conclusion for Biden, but will the blatant act of tokenism help or injure Biden?

There is a chance that many in the black community could be insulted by such a move considering his past history with black citizens and his relationship to the 1994 crime bill.

Time will tell, but if these numbers stay true Biden should be terrified.