OPINION: This article may contain commentary which reflects the author's opinion.
Democratic Arizona state Sen. Kirsten Engel has resigned from the Legislature to focus on her campaign for the U.S. House of Representatives.
Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District race could arguably be one of the most important races in the 2022 midterm elections.
The race will be pivotal to the Democratic Party’s efforts to retain the U.S. House majority and could even spill over into the U.S. Senate races.
“I know how much work it will take to win this district, and I’m ready to take on that challenge whole-heartedly,” Engel said in a statement.
Incumbent Democrat Ann Kirkpatrick is retiring, but the seat has become increasingly competitive over the years.
Democrats are preparing to lose control of the U.S. House in the 2022 midterm elections.
Fox News congressional correspondent Aishah Hasnie reported that Democrats are very worried that the fallout from the Biden administration’s handling of Afghanistan will cost them control of the lower chamber.
Republicans are now “the early favorites” to retake control of the House in the midterms.
Cook Political Report Senior Editor David Wasserman told NBC News that Republicans are poised to retake the lower chamber for a variety of reasons.
“Based on all factors, you’d have to consider Republicans the early favorites for the House majority in 2022,” Wasserman said.
“But as we found out in 2020, surprises can happen, and it’s not a done deal,” he added. “Democrats’ best hope is that Biden’s approval rating stays above 50% and that Republicans have a tougher time turning out their voters without Trump on the ballot.”
Last month, a top House Democrat warned that the Republican Party is in a prime position to take back House in next year’s midterm elections.
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Sean Patrick, who serves as a congressman from New York, says Democrats would lose their House majority if the midterms were held today.
Democrats are facing serious headwinds going into next year.
Three-quarters of senior Capitol Hill aides think Republicans are going to win back control of the House of Representatives in the 2021 midterm elections.
Punchbowl News surveyed several senior Capitol Hill aides and reported that a whopping 73 percent think Republicans will take the speaker’s gavel from Democrat Rep. Nancy Pelosi next November.
Republicans need a net gain of 5 seats to regain the House majority in the midterms next November.
Seventy-five percent of Hill staffers believe Democrats will retain the Senate majority.
This is up five percent from the last survey. Democrats currently have a 50-50 split with Republicans in Congress’s upper chamber.
Fifty-eight percent of Hill staffers also believe that enhanced unemployment benefits are hurting the labor market, while only 24 percent think it is helping Americans obtain employment.
House Republicans also have history on their side as they aim to regain the chamber.
The party that controls the White House, which is currently the Democrats, on average loses roughly 25 House seats in the midterm elections.
And the once-in-a-decade redistricting process – pegged to the 2020 census – is expected to generally favor Republicans over Democrats.