OPINION: This article contains commentary which reflects the author's opinion
Democrats have only been in power for roughly one month, and it appears their radical agenda is already backfiring.
A brand new poll from the University of New Hampshire Survey Center found that one race in the 2022 election could determine which party controls the U.S. Senate — and the GOP has a strong chance of winning it.
Republican Gov. Chris Sununu of New Hampshire holds a 48% to 46% advantage over Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan in a hypothetical 2022 general election showdown.
Hassan is running next year for a second six-year term in the Senate.
There’s speculation that Sununu, who was overwhelmingly re-elected in November to a third two-year term as Granite State governor, may challenge Hassan in 2022 rather than run for re-election as governor.
“It’s something that I’m considering,” Sununu said last week when asked about a possible 2022 Senate run. He added that he’s “definitely open to it.”
Sununu, the son of former Gov. John H. Sununu and younger brother to former Sen. John E. Sununu, remains very popular in New Hampshire.
The survey indicates his approval rating as governor stands at 72%, with a 55% to 19% favorable/unfavorable rating.
The poll found that Hassan (the Democrat) only has a 42% favorable rating compared to a 38% unfavorable.
Chris Sununu is so popular that he brought along the State House, State Senate, and a 4-1 R majority on the executive council.
He won by 33 points while Biden was winning by 8.
2022 is not a presidential year.
It will likely be a GOP leaning year.
— Justin Lucas (@LucasRJustin) January 24, 2021
While Sununu’s approval rating remains very high and his favorable numbers are superior to Hassan’s numbers, the poll indicates a close contest next year.
“New Hampshire is a state that leans Democrat and most people vote their party, especially in national elections,” UNH pollster Andrew Smith explained.
As Republicans aim to win back the majority in the chamber from the Democrats in 2022, the National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) – the re-election arm of Senate Republicans – sees Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and New Hampshire as potential pick-up opportunities to flip a blue seat red.
“This poll confirms what we’ve already known: Maggie Hassan is beatable and one of the weakest incumbents Democrats have running this cycle,” NRSC communications director Chris Hartline said.
Sununu’s been on the radar of national Republicans for quite some time.
“Republicans in Washington see Sununu as the candidate who can flip the Granite State,” a D.C.-based GOP consultant said.
— UNH Survey Center (@UNHSurveyCenter) February 25, 2021
Republicans also racked up gigantic victories in the U.S. House during the 2020 election.
Democrats control 222 seats to Republicans’ 213.
In the 2020 election, Democrats flipped three seats and Republicans flipped a whopping 15.
Now, Republicans only need to net gain 5 seats to take back control of the House.
House Republicans have laid out their path to winning back the chamber they came close to flipping in 2020.
They plan to rely on a similar playbook: slamming the Democrats as socialists who will implement “job-killing policies,” while at the same time downplaying any divisions within the GOP.
“It’s going to come down to two different agendas: one is about freedom— one is about having the right to self-determine your economic freedom, your individual liberties. The other one is about big government,” National Republican Congressional Committee chair Tom Emmer said.