OPINION: This article may contain commentary which reflects the author's opinion.
Vice President Kamala Harris took questions from reporters on Monday morning and used the opportunity to smear former President Donald Trump with incendiary remarks.
While speaking outside of Joint Base Andrews, a reporter lobbed a softball question to Harris about whether it’s been harder to run for president as a woman.
“Madam Vice President, Michelle Obama said recently that you’ve faced a double standard in this campaign. Do you feel like you’ve had to clear a higher bar every day than Donald Trump?” the reporter asked.
“My role and responsibility running for president of the United States is to make my case to the American people and to earn their support. And that is why I’m spending time traveling the country to listen to folks and to talk with them about my plans — my plans for strengthening our small businesses, my plans for helping people with home ownership, my plans to help young families with children,” Harris responded.
“And that’s the work that I’m going to continue to do, not taking anyone for granted, but knowing that I have to earn their support. And my plans and policies, including economists who have reviewed them, point to one fact, which is that my approach will strengthen America in many ways, including our economy, Donald Trump will weaken America and our economy,” Harris added.
Another reporter practically begged Harris to compare Trump to Nazis.
WATCH:
Reporters finally get to ask Kamala Harris questions and they practically beg her to compare Donald Trump to Hitler pic.twitter.com/Q4ZpZTr93W
— Martin Walsh (@MWalshUS) October 28, 2024
Nate Silver’s most recent prediction is that former President Donald Trump could win all of the important split states in the 2024 election.
Silver’s research shows that Trump has a 24.4% chance of winning all seven swing states in November. This is the most likely outcome. The forecast also says that Harris has a 15.6% chance of winning all the battleground states.
It also shows that Harris would win the race if she won all the swing states except Arizona and Georgia, where Trump is currently ahead.
His model, on the other hand, says that this is only 1.7% likely to happen. On the other hand, it’s 3.4% likely that Harris will win Georgia but not Arizona, and 2.9% likely that the Democrats will win Arizona but not Georgia.
The model shows that there is a 4.6% chance that the Republicans will win every swing state except Nevada, where Harris is currently ahead by a very small amount. In this case, Trump would win the election because the vice president would get 232 electoral college votes.
Silver’s overall prediction shows that Harris is most likely to win when Democrats win between three and five of the key states.
That’s how many electoral college votes the vice president would need to win if she only won Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. That’s an 86.2 percent chance of winning overall.
Polls show that Trump is ahead in Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina, while Harris is ahead in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nevada.
A tracker from FiveThirtyEight says the former president is ahead by 0.2 points in Pennsylvania, but a tracker from Silver says the state is tied.
The prediction from Silver says that Harris has a 0.6% chance of winning the race if she only wins Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nevada. If she gets Pennsylvania, her chances go up to 98.9 percent. Silver’s model, on the other hand, says that this unlikely event is only 2.9% likely to happen.
In the last two weeks, expectations for the electoral college have changed to show that Trump is more likely to win than Harris. As an example, Silver currently thinks that Trump has a 53.1% chance of getting the Electoral College vote, while Harris only thinks that Trump has a 46.6% chance.
FiveThirtyEight’s prediction has also changed in Trump’s favor. It now says that Trump has a 51% chance of winning the election, while Harris only has a 49% chance.
At the same time, RealClearPolitics predicts that Trump will win all four swing states, giving him 312 Electoral College votes to Harris’s 227.
Famed polling guru Nate Silver’s ‘gut says Donald Trump’ will win 2024 presidential election pic.twitter.com/ZjofA0EAVM
— Martin Walsh (@MWalshUS) October 24, 2024
This comes as Donald Trump’s encouragement, Republicans are voting early once again, heading to the polls for in-person voting ahead of Election Day and contributing to a national total of nearly 19 million early ballots.
The early turnout is setting records in swing states like Georgia and North Carolina.
