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Poll: Voters Favor Trump Over Biden in Hypothetical 2024 Matchup

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OPINION: This article may contain commentary which reflects the author's opinion.


Donald Trump is beginning to edge ahead of Joe Biden in a hypothetical 2024 presidential election matchup.

A recent survey released by Emerson College found that Trump is now President Biden 47% to 46%.

For Trump to make such a political comeback after what happened in the 2020 election cycle is incredible.

“Historically, this data reminds me of 1912 when Teddy Roosevelt failed to win the Republican nomination from then-President Taft and created a third party dooming the Republican chances against Woodrow Wilson,” Spencer Kimball, Director of Emerson College Polling, said in a statement.

“This data suggests that Republicans want either Trump or a Trumpian candidate to be their nominee, or half of them may split from the party,” he added.

Biden’s team is under pressure as more polls have been released showing that Americans disapprove of his performance as president.

A Washington Post-ABC News poll found that Biden’s approval numbers have fallen to a dismal 44 percent.

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The poll also found that 24 percent of respondents “strongly disapproved” of Biden’s performance in office.

Only 24 percent said they “strongly approve” of Biden’s performance.

Breitbart noted:

–In April, 29 percent strongly approved of Biden’s performance with an overall approval rating of 53 percent, nine points higher than September’s overall number.

–Biden disapproval numbers have also dropped. In April, 39 percent disapproved of Biden job performance, while in September it stands at 42, a three-point shift.

–The shift in strong sentiment seems indicative of nationwide polling in battleground states, where Biden is struggling heading into the 2022 midterms.

–In 25 out of 27 seats in 18 battleground states, Biden’s approval rating is underwater. Additionally, in 12 out of 13 races where Republicans currently occupy the seat, Biden also has a negative approval rating. In seats currently held by a Democrat, 13 out of 14 seats are impacted by Biden’s diminished approval rating.

The vast majority of American voters also believe Biden should resign as president following the disastrous withdrawal of American troops from Afghanistan. 

According to Rasmussen Reports on Wednesday, a poll asked respondents “Should President Joe Biden resign because of the way the US withdrawal from Afghanistan was handled?”

Some 52 percent of likely U.S. voters responded that they believe Biden should resign, in a poll that was taken over telephone and online nationally. 

According to the poll, only 39 percent of likely U.S. voters disagreed, following 9 percent who said they are not sure. 

The survey points out that opinions over Biden’s resignation are “sharply divided along party lines,” with three-quarters of Republicans agreeing that Biden should retire.

A large percentage of Democrats or 32 percent also believe that Biden should retire for how he handled the Afghanistan withdrawal.

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Additionally, 48 percent of independents believe he should not. 

60 percent of respondents said they “somewhat agree” with the statement, followed by 46 percent who said they “strongly agree” with the suggestion that Biden should be impeached.

Another 37 percent said they “somewhat disagree” with the statement, and 29 percent said they “strongly disagree.” 

Despite the lack of confidence in Biden’s ability to lead the country, voters said they are not at all confident with the abilities of Vice President Kamala Harris to assume office.

47 percent said Harris is “not at all qualified,” followed by 11 percent who said, “she is not very qualified.”

Only 38 percent of those who took the survey indicated any amount of confidence in Harris’ ability to assume Biden’s role. 

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