OPINION: This article may contain commentary which reflects the author's opinion.
As per a recent poll, former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris in five of the seven pivotal swing states that will determine the election’s winner.
A survey by AtlasIntel of probable voters in battleground states shows that Pennsylvania (51 percent to 48.1) and Michigan (50.6 percent to 47.2) are leading places for Trump.
In the states that remain undecided, Arizona (49.8 percent to 48.6), Georgia (49.6 percent to 49), and Wisconsin (49.7 percent to 48.2), the former president likewise holds a “narrow” edge. AtlasIntel contributed this information. Harris is ahead in Nevada (50.5 percent to 47.7) and North Carolina (50.5 percent to 48.1).
AtlasIntel was selected by 538 voters as the most trustworthy polling company for the 2020 presidential race. With Harris receiving 248 Electoral College votes and the Republican capturing the five battleground states where he currently leads in their polling, Trump would win the 2024 election with 290 Electoral College votes.
Surveys were conducted by AtlastIntel between September 20 and September 25, with a two- to three-percentage-point margin of error.
“Americans are sick and tired of Kamala Harris and her failed policies that have led to skyrocketing inflation, an out-of-control border, and rampant crime that terrorizes communities,” a Trump official told Newsweek in response to the survey results. The American people are wise enough to spot a fraud when they see one, and she is weak, incompetent, and dangerously liberal.”
The AtlasIntel poll indicates that Trump would win two of Harris’s most crucial “blue wall” battleground states.
With the exception of three swing states—Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan—Harris just needs to win these three states in order to secure the 270 Electoral College votes required to win the election.
In this scenario, Harris would also need to prevail in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District’s Electoral College, which polls suggest she is likely to do.
Joe Biden was successful in flipping Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, which Trump had won in 2016, over the course of the next four years. Maine and Nebraska are the only two states that do not distribute Electoral College votes according to a winner-take-all formula.
In November, even if Trump only wins North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Georgia, he will still have enough votes to be declared the victor.
Furthermore, Trump may win if he defeats Harris in each of the four Sun Belt swing states: Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, and Nevada. He could even win if he flips just one of Wisconsin or Michigan.
Former President Donald Trump appears to be headed for a “landslide” election victory over Vice President Kamala Harris, according to some recent polling data from trustworthy organizations.
According to polling data from Insider Advantage and the Trafalgar Group, Trump appears to be well-positioned for a resounding win in the 2024 presidential contest. According to the most recent polling, Trump has a sizable lead in a number of crucial battleground states, indicating a strong chance of winning in November.
According to the most recent electoral map, Trump will receive 296 electoral votes, while Kamala Harris will receive 226. Notably, swing states that were crucial in recent elections—Pennsylvania (+2.2), Michigan (+2.2), and Wisconsin (+1.1)—are seeing gains from Trump. These states, which usually vote Democratic in close elections, appear to be moving in the former president’s direction.
Trump is up by one point in Arizona and North Carolina, but the races in Nevada and Georgia are still very close.
According to Trafalgar’s research, Georgia, a state that has seen fierce competition from both parties in recent elections, is in a dead race.
The change is further supported by Senate chances, which indicate a 73% possibility of Republicans regaining control of the upper chamber and dramatically altering the political landscape in Washington.
