OPINION: This article contains commentary which reflects the author's opinion
Three-quarters of senior Capitol Hill aides think Republicans are going to win back control of the House of Representatives in the 2022 midterm elections.
Punchbowl News surveyed several senior Capitol Hill aides and reported that a whopping 73 percent think Republicans will take the speaker’s gavel from Democrat Rep. Nancy Pelosi next November.
Republicans need a net gain of 5 seats to regain the House majority in the midterms next November.
The loss of the House stalled much of then-President Donald Trump’s legislative agenda, and the loss of the House majority might do the same for Biden.
Seventy-five percent of Hill staffers believe Democrats will retain the Senate majority.
This is up five percent from the last survey. Democrats currently have a 50-50 split with Republicans in Congress’s upper chamber.
The slight majority in the Senate has forced Biden to negotiate with Republicans to either negotiate on issues such as infrastructure or pressure moderate Senate Democrats such as Sens. Joe Manchin (D-WV) or Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ) to back more partisan proposals.
Fifty-eight percent of Hill staffers also believe that enhanced unemployment benefits are hurting the labor market, while only 24 percent think it is helping Americans obtain employment.
The GOP has another big advantage now: they are raking in historical amounts of money.
Republicans set a fundraising record for the third month in a row and now have $42.1 million in cash on hand with zero dollars in debt.
The National Republican Congressional Committee raised over $14 million in May as it builds resources toward next year’s elections.
The NRCC highlights that May was its third straight record-breaking fundraising month.
But the impressive $14 million haul included a transfer of $5 million from the Republican National Committee.
And the NRCC says it ended May with more than $42.1 million cash on hand – more than double the amount it had in its coffers at this point in the last election cycle – and zero debt.
“Americans are ready to do whatever is necessary to stop Nancy Pelosi and House Democrats’ socialist agenda. May’s record-breaking fundraising numbers are just the latest indication that House Republicans are primed to retake the majority,” NRCC Chairman Rep. Tom Emmer of Minnesota said.
For comparison, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee reported having $32 million cash on hand with no debt at the beginning of May.
House Republicans have history on their side as they aim to regain the chamber.
The party that controls the White House, which is currently the Democrats, on average loses roughly 25 House seats in the midterm elections.
And the once-in-a-decade redistricting process – pegged to the 2020 census – is expected to generally favor Republicans over Democrats.
Donald Trump recently said it would be an “interesting” idea for him to run for a Florida seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in 2022.
Former Republican Rep. Trey Gowdy also predicted that Republicans are going to win back control of the House next November.
Gowdy predicted that Biden’s radical agenda will cost Democrats to lose the House next November.