Poll: Trump Edges Biden Among Florida Latino Voters

Written by Martin Walsh

OPINION: This article contains commentary which reflects the author's opinion


A brand new poll reveals that President Donald Trump is winning that battle over Democratic candidate Joe Biden in Florida with Latino voters.

This is so significant because Latinos voted overwhelmingly for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election — and Trump still won the swing state.

According to an NBC News/Marist poll of 766 likely voters conducted between Aug. 31 and Sept. 6, Trump and Biden are tied with 48 percent support in the state, but Trump has 50 percent support among Latinos compared to 46 percent support for Biden.

In 2016, Clinton won 62 percent of the Latino vote in Florida compared to Trump’s 35 percent.

So even if Trump and Biden split the Latino vote evenly, that would be catastrophic for the former vice president.

Trump’s support among Latinos has a lot to do with the state’s high Cuban population.


This is likely due to the fact that many Cubans living in Florida fled the communist nation, or have family who did.

With many Democrats championing the concept of democratic socialism, it seems as if many Latinos are either not supporting Democrats and/or have decided to support Trump.

Latinos are not the only group where Trump is seeing rising support.

Hill-Harris X poll of registered voters conducted late last month revealed that 24 percent of black respondents approve of Trump’s job performance, which represents a 9 percentage point spike from earlier in the month.

Florida will just be one piece of the puzzle in the 2020 election.

But if Trump and the Republicans continue to do outreach toward Latinos and other minority groups, he may be able to clinch a second term.

Last week, a new poll revealed that Trump is winning that battle over Biden in North Carolina, a crucial swing state that both sides are fighting hard to win.

Trump now leads Biden by 49 percent to 47 percent in North Carolina.

Dr. Peter Francia, Director of the East Carolina University Center for Survey Research, said Trump is trending the right direction and performing well with minorities in the state.

“Our poll results show that there are few undecided voters and few voters who are willing to change their mind, whether they are currently Biden or Trump supporters. This suggests that campaign efforts to persuade voters is unlikely to make a significant difference,” Francia said.

“Instead, the outcome of the Trump-Biden contest in North Carolina will hinge on which party – Democrats or Republicans – does a better job of turning out their supporters to vote. By extension, the results in the Trump-Biden election will almost certainly affect several of the highly competitive down-ballot races as well,” Francia added. President Trump leads Biden among white voters by a 25 point margin, 61 percent to 36 percent, while former Vice President Biden leads the president among black voters by a 66 point margin, 79 percent to 13 percent.

Other recent polls from Michigan and Wisconsin should also have Democrats worried.