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Republicans Now Enjoy Double-Digit Lead In Voter Preference Ahead of Midterms

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OPINION: This article may contain commentary which reflects the author's opinion.


Republicans got some more good news this week ahead of the 2022 midterm elections in November.

According to a survey released by a conservative pollster on Tuesday, voters appear to prefer GOP candidates over Democrats by nearly 13 points.

In addition, voters expect Republicans to keep the Biden administration in check, the survey from the Convention of States Action, working with the polling firm Trafalgar Group.

The poll also found that by far, voters are most concerned about law and order, border security, and potential Chinese aggression.

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“GOP leaders have said they are optimistic about retaking the House and are hopeful they can tip the scales in the evenly divided Senate,” the Washington Times reported, citing the survey.

The paper added:

Tuesday’s poll found that 54.4% of American voters prefer Republican candidates and 41.9% prefer Democratic ones, while 3.7% are undecided.

Pollsters said 81% of voters are confident that if Republicans win control of Congress in this year’s elections, they will follow through on vows to try to block or undo Mr. Biden’s policies.

The conservative group said the GOP risks losing its lead if leaders do not detail what they plan to do if they win control of Capitol Hill.

“It’s clear from this data that Republicans remain far ahead in this race, and if they win, voters believe they will deliver. However, these numbers also spell danger for Republicans. GOP leadership has not laid out clearly what they would do if they are elected, and voters feel very strongly about action being taken on issues from law and order to the border to inflation and the economy,” said Mark Meckler, president of Convention of States Action.

“If voters get wind that their priorities are not being taken seriously, and lose confidence in Republicans to deliver, these numbers could shift dramatically,” he added.

According to the survey:

— The top issue for voters, by far, is law and order, with 8 in 10 respondents saying they believe police departments can be funded fully and prosecutors can be tough on criminals while still dealing with officers who abuse their authority;

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— Nearly 70 percent said they believe China is a rising threat to U.S. national security;

— Roughly two-thirds of respondents cited the porous southwestern border, which has seen record numbers of illegal migrant contacts since Biden took office, as a top issue — saying illegal crossers should be returned to their home countries and the border secured;

— 62 percent said that the U.S. can produce oil and natural gas without harming the environment;

— 56 percent said the dramatic influx of fentanyl coming across the southwestern border from China is the top factor in overdose deaths.

“Also, pollsters found 54% of voters think Mr. Biden’s ideas on how to fix inflation will actually hurt the economic recovery, and 48% think parents should have greater authority than teachers’ unions in directing education policy,” the Washington Times found.

The results are the latest in a string of polls that have been good news for the GOP and bad news for Democrats and the Biden administration.

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Last week, for instance, Biden’s approval rating in an average of polls hit a new low.

According to Fox News, a new average of polls show Biden’s approval rating beneath 40 percent for the first time since he took office in January 2021.

“A Real Clear Politics average of all the most recent national surveys measuring Biden’s standing put the president’s approval at 39% and his disapproval at 54%,” the news network reported online.

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There are a number of issues and crises that are weighing down the president’s job approval numbers:

Biden has also found himself at the center of a Russia-Ukraine border conflict in Europe. Last month, Biden predicted Russian President Vladimir Putin would advance into Ukraine, saying, “My guess is he will move in. He has to do something.”

Biden continues to take heat from Americans over rising gas prices, leading his own party to introduce a proposal to temporarily suspend the federal gas tax in order to help blunt the financial pain of surging prices at the pump.

Other costs, including energy bills, are also having an impact on Americans. New York residents say their bills have doubled in the latest wrinkle to red-hot inflation.

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