OPINION: This article contains commentary which reflects the author's opinion
Control for the U.S. Senate may come down to which party wins New Hampshire in the 2022 midterm elections.
As of right now, polling indicates Republicans are in a good position — and Democrat Sen. Maggie Hassan is already running political ads more than a year out from the election.
Hassan has released a TV ad for her 2022 reelection bid and is spending six figures to push her liberal talking points.
“The ad launched Tuesday and is running on broadcast and cable television, as well as on radio and digital platforms,” The Hill reported.
“The ad comes more than a year before the 2022 general election, which will decide whether Democrats will hold their congressional majorities for at least another two years. Hassan, who sits on the Senate Veterans’ Affairs Committee, is facing her first reelection bid since winning her seat in 2016. In launching the ad buy early, Hassan is hoping to counter a slew of attacks from Republican-aligned groups who see the New Hampshire senator as a top target next year,” The Hill report added.
Hassan is likely worried after recent polling shows she could be in serious trouble of her losing her seat.
A Saint Anselm College Survey Center survey found that GOP Gov. Chris Sununu has an 8 point lead over Democrat Sen. Maggie Hassan in a potential 2022 U.S. Senate matchup.
The findings of the poll were summarized by WMUR:
The Saint Anselm College Survey Center found Sununu leading Hassan, 49 percent to 41 percent, with 6 percent choosing “someone else” and 4 percent unsure.
The survey center said its sample was evenly divided, with 34 percent registered Democrats, 33 percent registered Republicans and 33 percent registered undeclared voters. The margin of error was plus or minus 2.3 percentage points.
The survey also found:
–Preferences in the new poll, as in past polls, were predictably divided along party lines, with 83 percent of registered Democrats favoring Hassan and 89 percent of registered Republicans favoring Sununu.
–But undeclared voters favored Sununu by a margin of 50 percent to 34 percent, with 8 percent choosing “someone else” and an additional 8 percent undecided.
–According to the poll, 44 percent approved and 48 percent disapproved of the job Hassan is doing as a senator.
–Sununu’s job performance was approved by 64 percent and disapproved by 34 percent of those polled. In June, 68 percent approved and 30 percent disapproved.
2022 #NHSen General Election Poll:
— PollTracker (@PollTrackerUSA) September 1, 2021
— WMUR TV (@WMUR9) August 31, 2021
Democrats have only been in power for a few months, and it appears their radical agenda is already backfiring.
House Republicans have also laid out their path to winning back the chamber they came close to flipping in 2020.
Republicans need a net gain of 5 seats to regain the House majority in the midterms next November.
House Republicans also have history on their side as they aim to regain the chamber.
The party that controls the White House, which is currently the Democrats, on average loses roughly 25 House seats in the midterm elections.
And the once-in-a-decade redistricting process – pegged to the 2020 census – is expected to generally favor Republicans over Democrats.
Donald Trump recently said it would be an “interesting” idea for him to run for a Florida seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in 2022.