OPINION: This article may contain commentary which reflects the author's opinion.
The campaign of Vice President Kamala Harris might have thought that a comedian’s comments on Puerto Rico would drive Puerto Rican voters from former President Donald Trump, but the data suggests otherwise.
A new poll from Cygnal Polling And Analytics, which was done after the former president’s rally in Madison Square Garden where the insult comedian Tony Hinchcliffe referred to Puerto Rico as a “floating island of garbage,” said that the president is in the lead with Puerto Rican voters, ahead of his opponent.
The poll, conducted between October 26-28, showed that the former president is leading his opponent by 10 points among all Latinos.
In 2020, Latino voters chose President Joe Biden by 65 percent, which would mark a massive change that could make Trump president again.
#NEW FLORIDA poll – Hispanics
🔴 Puerto Ricans: Trump+2
🔴 All Hispanics: Trump+10
🔴 Cubans: Trump+28Cygnal | 10/26-28 | N=600LV
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 31, 2024
In Florida the polls showed that Cubans, a traditionally reliable vote for Republicans, favored the former president by 28 points and, in what is a stunner, showed him ahead with Puerto Ricans by two points.
“Trump lost Puerto Ricans in Florida 66-34 in 2020. PA results were similar. The most recent poll that dropped from Cygnal, conducted mostly after the Madison Square Garden rally, shows Donald Trump winning Florida Puerto Ricans by two points,” Red Eagle Politics said on X, formerly Twitter. “This is disastrous for Democrats.”
The most accurate pollster of the 2020 presidential election cycle indicated that all of former President Donald Trump’s hard work on the campaign trail is paying off.
After his Democratic opponent enjoyed a “honeymoon” period where she rose above him in the polls after President Biden dropped out of the race and endorsed her, she now lags behind the 45th president in six of seven must-have swing stages, according to AtlasIntel.
“While the electorate could certainly have shifted from the 2020 presidential contest—and no U.S. election is the same—the data suggests President Donald J. Trump holds leads in all but one of the seven states, which would result in a significant Electoral College victory,” the National Pulse reported, citing the polling data.
According to the data, Trump is ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in Arizona by 4.2 points. He also leads Harris in North Carolina by 3.7 points and in Nevada by 3.6 points.
The presidential race is tighter in the remaining battleground states, with Trump leading Harris by 2.3 points in Georgia.
In Pennsylvania and Michigan, Trump has a slight edge over Harris, leading by just 1.5 and 0.6 points, respectively.
In Wisconsin, however, the America First leader narrowly trails his Democratic opponent by a mere 0.2 points, the data show.
While the AtlasIntel survey indicates that electoral momentum is shifting in Trump’s favor, the narrow margins remain a concern for Republicans. Outside of Arizona, Nevada, and North Carolina, Trump and Harris are both within the margin of error.
In recent weeks, most polls have shown the race tightening and beginning to favor Trump. However, the 2024 Republican presidential nominee has yet to fully break away and establish a significant lead over Harris, the National Pulse noted further.
It remains uncertain whether recent polling has reflected any changes among voters following President Joe Biden’s remarks on Tuesday during a Harris campaign event, where he referred to tens of millions of Trump supporters as “garbage.”
Additionally, in another gaffe during Harris’s campaign on Thursday, billionaire donor and campaign surrogate Mark Cuban suggested that women who support Trump are weak and unintelligent.
Still, CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten pointed to several factors during a network segment on Wednesday, indicating that Trump is very likely to defeat Harris.
Trump and Harris are currently in a tight race, with the former president holding a narrow lead over the vice president in six of the top seven battleground states, according to RealClearPolitics averages.
