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Kamala Harris Gets Bad News After DNC Speech

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OPINION: This article may contain commentary which reflects the author's opinion.


In a recent national head-to-head survey by Rasmussen Reports, former President Donald Trump is leading Vice President Kamala Harris by three percentage points.

“Trump came out ahead 49% to 46%. That amounts to a slight gain for Harris, who was lagging behind Trump 45% to 49% in Rasmussen’s poll last week. When third-party hopefuls were added to the mix, Trump came out on top again with 47% to Harris’ 45%, followed by independent contender Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 4%, and all others at 1% or less, per Rasmussen,” the New York Post reported.

“Rasmussen’s findings are an outlier among recent national polling. The conservative-leaning firm has often been at odds with other top pollsters. In 2016, it was among the closest firms to the final result. Harris is averaging a two-point lead over Trump in the latest RealClearPolitics aggregate of a national five-way race. In a two-way race, her lead slips to 1.5 percentage points,” the Post added.

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The race for battleground state polling has also become much more competitive, with several firms obtaining varying results in the major races.

Trump is predicted to receive 287 Electoral College votes to Harris’ 251 in the battleground state estimate by RealClearPolitics, taking all of the big swing states with the exception of Wisconsin.

Lately, polling has been good for Trump.

Trump appears to have retaken his lead in polling after an initial surge in support for Vice President Kamala Harris following President Joe Biden’s decision to end his reelection campaign in July.

Harris has enjoyed a solid month of favorable reporting in most mainstream media outlets — all of which lean to the left on their editorial pages — while Trump’s coverage has been proportionally negative. According to Axios, previous polling by the Cook Political Report published last week showed Harris leading Trump in Arizona, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Similarly, a New York Times/Siena College poll released last week found Harris with a narrow lead in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania.

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The latest survey by Navigator Research, released on Tuesday, shows that the race is very close in Arizona, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Specifically, Trump is ahead of Harris by one percentage point in Arizona (46% to 45%) and by two points in Pennsylvania (46% to 44%), while the remaining three states are in a dead heat. This survey is in line with the RealClearPolitics Polling average of battleground states, which also includes Nevada and Georgia.

Compared to Biden’s standings before leaving the race on July 21, the vice president is performing better in these battleground states. Prior to Biden’s departure, Trump had a lead of over 4 percent across the seven states in the RCP average, with his advantage increasing as the announcement drew near.

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