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Trump Takes Double-Digit Lead With Hispanics As Blacks, Asians Also Move Toward GOP

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OPINION: This article may contain commentary which reflects the author's opinion.


Joe Biden’s far-left presidency may best be remembered as the administration that finally broke the Democratic Party’s stranglehold on ethnic minority groups.

According to a new survey from Rasmussen Reports, prospective GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump has taken a double-digit lead over Biden among likely Hispanic voters, as Black and Asian Americans also appear to be shifting more towards the Republican Party.

Overall, Trump is leading Biden 49-41 percent, which is the same as the pollster’s survey of likely voters last month, the Washington Examiner reported.

The outlet added:

But this time, Rasmussen highlighted the gap in Hispanic voters that favors Trump. The pollster said Latinos back Trump over Biden, 48%-37%. That is a significant change from 2020, when Hispanics backed Biden 59%-38%, according to Pew statistics.

In 2020, Biden also won Asian voters, and that margin has shifted. In 2020 he won Asians by a margin of 72%-28%, Pew said. Rasmussen now shows Trump leading 39%-36%.

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In the last election, Biden also did well with black voters, 92%-8%. Rasmussen showed Biden’s lead cut to 48%-39%.

Democrats are concerned about the huge shift from 2020 as they need a big minority advantage to win, although those gaps are expected to turn in Biden’s favor as the election nears, the Examiner added.

In addition, Trump is polling better among self-described Independents.

“Trump benefits from both stronger partisan intensity and a double-digit advantage among independent voters,” the Rasmussen analysis noted. “In a head-to-head matchup with Biden, Trump gets 83% of Republican votes, compared to Biden’s 74% among Democrats.

“Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Trump leads with 46% to Biden’s 35%. These gaps are not significantly affected by the inclusion of RFK Jr., [Jill] Stein or [Cornell] West on the ballot,” the report continued.

The analysis said, “The survey doesn’t show Kennedy having a large impact on the outcome. Nor is the margin significantly affected by the inclusion of Green Party candidate Jill Stein and former Harvard Professor Cornell West.”

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Rasmussen added, “In a three-way match-up between Biden, Trump and RFK Jr., 44% would vote for Trump, 38% for Biden and 10% for Kennedy. In February, Kennedy had 12%. In a five-watch matchup, 45% would vote for Trump, 38% for Biden, nine percent (9%) for Kennedy, two percent (2%) for West and one percent (1%) for Stein.”

Meanwhile, a top pollster sounded the alarm for Democrats hoping that New York Attorney General Letitia James will soon move to seize Trump’s assets if he can’t pay a now-reducted $175 million penalty resulting from his civil fraud trial earlier this year.

During an appearance on CNN, Frank Luntz suggested taking Trump’s properties would serve as proof of the 45th president’s claims that the legal system is tilted against him, bolster his arguments of victimhood, and dramatically increase his election chances.

“I want you to remember this moment and don’t forget it. If the New York Attorney General starts to take his homes away, starts to seize his assets, it’s all going to be on camera. Pundits are going to sit there and scream about this, this man cannot be elected. You’re going to create the greatest victimhood of 2024, and you’re going to elect Donald Trump,” Luntz told CNN’s John Berman.

“If they take his stuff, he’s going to say that this is proof that the federal government and the establishment and the swamp in Washington and all the politicians across the country and the attorneys general and all of this, that this is a conspiracy to deny him the presidency. He’s going to go up in the polls just like he went up every single time they indicted him,” Luntz added.

He continued: “The indictment, let’s not talk about whether it’s justified or not, but it will prove the things that he’s saying on the campaign trail, and he will go up, and it may just elect him president. Do not forget that. And I say this to the Attorney General right now: if you play politics on this, this is what the secretaries of state did in Colorado and what they did in, I believe, Maine. His numbers went up in both states.”

“I don’t understand. I’m almost speechless in how pathetic the opposition to Trump has been and how completely misguided, and this is a perfect example of it…How is Donald Trump beating Joe Biden? He’s got 85 indictments that still exist, felonies. How is he beating Joe Biden with the economy getting better and things cleaning up? Okay. We got – you still have inflation. You still got immigration. Trump is leading. And in the seven swing states, Trump is up by the margin of error in five out of seven. Why is that happening?” Luntz asked.

“Because his critics are stupid, and they’re running a horrible campaign. And for those people who do not want Joe – Donald Trump back, they should be thankful that the people who are orchestrating his loss are as pathetic and they don’t understand the American people,” he concluded.

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