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Will Harris Be 2024 Dem Nominee? Speculation Begins Amid VP’s Rise in Polls

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OPINION: This article may contain commentary which reflects the author's opinion.


An op-ed at the conservating Right Side Broadcasting Network speculates that President Joe Biden may not be his party’s 2024 nominee as his polling numbers and approval ratings sink.

Rather, argues

“New polling shows Kamala Harris is rising in the ranks as Joe Biden sinks to the bottom with each passing week, but what does this mean for the future of the Biden administration?” Minto noted in a column published on Sunday.

She writes that a Gallup poll released last week showed that Harris’ approval rating was higher than Biden’s by almost six points, 49 percent to the president’s 43 percent, while adding that Harris’ positive rating “is just where Joe Biden’s approval was circa 20098 when he was Barack Obama’s vice president.”

Minto notes further:

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There is no specific reason strategists can point at to explain why Harris is in a better position than the President, especially considering that she has not carried out duties assigned to her by Joe Biden, such as handling the border crisis.

Harris was criticized earlier this year when she was placed in charge of the southern border but did not take any action, but quickly visited after President Donald Trump announced a visit to Texas to assess the situation with Gov. Greg Abbott, R-Texas.

Biden’s polling numbers were headed downward already, but as Minto noted, they really took a hit following the deadly, chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan at the end of August — a withdrawal that saw at least hundreds of Americans still stranded in the country despite Biden’s pledge to get all U.S. citizens out before the military departed for good. The president was also roundly criticized by members of both parties following the withdrawal, with was immediately preceded by the deaths of 11 Marines, two U.S. Army soldiers, and a Navy corpsman by a suicide bomber.

“Most recently, the attention has been placed on the Build Back Better Infrastructure bill that would cost over $3.5 trillion dollars. This bill is causing disagreement not just with Republicans, but it is also instigating a great divide between moderate and progressive Democrats, such as Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W.V.,” Minto wrote.

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“Strategists, according to The Hill, say factors playing into Harris’ success in the polls could include the focus on Biden and the White House holding Kamala at arm’s length,” she added, going on to cite Basil Smikle, the former executive director of the New York State Democratic Party.

“The White House could bring her in more closely — as other administrations have — but they seem to keep her at a little distance, which may have been helpful to her in the long run,” he told The Hill.

While Biden’s polling numbers have tumbled, Harris appears to be staying focused on building out and strengthening the Democrat Party. She recently traveled to her home state of California to stump for Gov. Gavin Newsom as he faced a recall election, and she has also been raising money for serial political grifter Terry McAuliffe, who is again running for governor of Virginia. She has also made “appearances on behalf of other Democrat initiatives,” according to Minto.

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“My instinct is to say that so much fire has been aimed at Biden, Harris’s numbers have gone up by sheer virtue of being out of the spotlight,” Democratic political strategist Christy Setzer told The Hill.

“She’s not giving anyone fresh reason to dislike her, so her polling numbers revert to the mean, with the country about evenly divided on the Black woman in the No. 2 spot,” Setzer noted further.

Minto concluded: “Speculations as to whether Biden will be the Democratic nominee in 2024 have already begun, and rising poll numbers for Harris might deem her the favorite as speculation and extreme bipartisan criticism of the Biden administration continues.”

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