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Survey Finds Biden Underwater With Key Constituency In Arizona

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OPINION: This article may contain commentary which reflects the author's opinion.


President Joe Biden may have eked out a victory in historically red Arizona during the 2020 election, but he’s not very popular in the state today, according to polling data.

And in fact, Biden has lost a lot of ground with a key constituency in the state that reportedly helped put him over the top during the last election, according to a newly released job approval survey from the state.

According to The Center Square/Arizona, Biden “has a 40% approval rating, while 55% disapprove of him, according to an Arizona Public Opinion PulseĀ poll conducted by OH Predictive Insights (OHPI).”

Moreover, the survey found that Biden has really lost ground with the key “Independents” constituency:

Bidenā€™s approval rating among independents, however, was even worse; just 34% of them approved of the job he is doing, while 59% disapproved. Of those, independents strongly disapprove of the most popular category; 41% strongly disapprove of the job Biden is doing in office.

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This low approval rating among independent voters comes in a year with a midterm election. U.S. Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Arizona) is up for re-election, and Democrats hold four of the stateā€™s nine U.S. House seats.

The state may play a pivotal role in determining which party controls both chambers of congress. If thatā€™s the case, then Mike Noble, OHPI Chief of Research, thinks thatā€™s bad news for Democrats.Ā 

ā€œBidenā€™s record-low approval ratings are encouraging to Arizona Republicans as they look to notch victories in several key races,ā€ Noble said in a press release. ā€œMajority disapproval of the President always trickles down ticket as the entire party suffers residual damages.ā€

The Arizona survey is just the latest in a months-long string of bad polling for Biden and for his Democratic Party.

For instance, on Friday a Marquette University Law School survey found that Biden had lost a lot of ground with another historic Democratic constituency, black voters, as the Washington Examiner reported:

The newĀ Marquette University Law SchoolĀ survey found a 32% cratering of black support for Biden, who now enjoys just a 56% approval rating among African Americans, among the worst ever for a modern Democratic president.

By comparison, the same survey less than a year ago found his support among black people at 88%.

The drop was so noticeable that the school mentioned it in their headline on the survey, which put Bidenā€™s overall approval rate from American adults at 46%, among his best of recent surveys.

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Since July 2021, Biden job approval among whites has gone from 50% to 40%. Among Blacks, it has gone from 88% to 56%. Among Hispanics, itā€™s gone from 56% to 51%. @pollsandvotes points to the decline among Blacks as particularly striking. #mulawpoll,” the law school noted in a tweet.

In March, a pollster who is trusted by Democrats also delivered bad news for the president.

Ann Selzer, who conducts the well-known Iowa Poll, in conjunction with Iowaā€™s Grinnell College, has found that Bidenā€™s approval rating has crashed to just 34 percent nationwide, while a substantial majority of Americans also believe the U.S. economy is cratering, the Washington ExaminerĀ noted in a separate report.

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ā€œThe latest edition of the Grinnell College National Poll (Grinnell-Selzer) shows that nearly 6 in 10 Americans believe the economy will get worse in the next 12 months ā€” the highest number recorded in the history of the poll. And the pessimism about the future of the economy may be weighing down President Joe Bidenā€™s approval ratings across the board,ā€ said an analysis of the poll.

While just 34 percent of respondents gave Biden a passing grade, 54 percent did not and 14 percent said they werenā€™t sure.

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