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Surveys: Trump Has Solid Leads Over Biden In Seven Battleground States

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OPINION: This article may contain commentary which reflects the author's opinion.


Former President Donald Trump’s campaign continues to get the kind of news that has President Joe Biden’s campaign in panic mode.

Just the News reported that a slew of new surveys show Trump has either maintained or extended his lead over Biden in seven key battleground states.

“Trump leads Biden by 4% in Arizona, 1% in Michigan, 3% in Nevada and 3% in Wisconsin, according to four polls released Wednesday and Thursday by Emerson College Polling/The Hill,” the outlet noted, citing the surveys.

“Trump is also ahead of Biden by 3% in North Carolina and 4% in Georgia, according to polls released Wednesday by the Marist Institute for Public Opinion. Meanwhile, an Emerson College survey released last week shows Trump leads Biden by 4% in Pennsylvania,” the outlet continued.

That said, Trump’s lead is within the margin of error in at least three states—Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nevada—and he’s within the 3.6 percent margin of error in the Marist poll in North Carolina.

Moreover, these figures do not encompass third-party candidates, so they are subject to change, particularly if Robert F. Kennedy manages to secure a spot on the ballot. At present, he has solely fulfilled petitioning endeavors to secure a ballot position in Nevada, Utah, Hawaii, and New Hampshire, according to information available on his website.

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Biden’s campaign is obviously feeling the heat, as it has begun aggressively raising funds. Also, the campaign made a $30 million ad purchase in several battleground states earlier this month.

The Biden campaign is launching a six-week, $30 million ad blitz in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina, according to Politico.

The ad campaign seeks to highlight various Biden initiatives concerning “climate change” and abortion while also addressing concerns regarding the president’s mental acuity. The campaign mirrors a broader administration push to garner support among black Americans and young people, especially as the president trails behind Trump in the polls.

According to Politico, the ad campaign promotes five key Biden talking points, which include the COVID-19 recovery, reducing the cost of prescription drugs, the bipartisan infrastructure deal, efforts against “climate change,” and safeguarding abortion rights.

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Political consultant Patrick Bonsignore of Blue Sky Strategy, who previously served as the director of Paid Media on the 2020 Biden campaign, is leading the first ad buy in what is anticipated to be a billion-dollar campaign.

The outlet noted that the ad negates to mention the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade, choosing instead to focus on Trump’s alleged infringement on the “freedom of women to choose.”

The ad targets minorities and young voters, with a strong emphasis on social media platforms. Additionally, it will be aired on cable networks such as ESPN, TNT, FX, and Comedy Central, the campaign told Politico.

A series of new national polls show him falling farther behind his likely GOP rival.

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The polling is from late February, and several major outlets had Trump sailing past Biden, often outside the polls’ margins of error.

The Wall Street Journal noted:

In the latest Wall Street Journal poll ahead of the State of the Union address, Republican Donald Trump holds a narrow lead over Democrat President Biden in a head-to-head test of the expected 2024 presidential matchup, with 47% backing Trump and 45% picking Biden, a difference within the survey’s margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points. In December, Trump led by four points.

CBS News added:

As Super Tuesday makes an historic rematch all but official, voters are comparing not just two presidents, but two presidencies.

And right now former President Donald Trump emerges from that comparison as the frontrunner. He leads President Biden by four points nationally, his largest lead to date. 

And Fox News reported on its survey:

With eight months until Election Day, former President Trump carries voters who say either the economy or immigration is their priority voting issue, and this edge on the top two issues gives the Republican frontrunner a 2-point advantage over current President Biden in a hypothetical general election matchup. The poll also shows Nikki Haley, Trump’s last-standing Republican primary challenger, with an 8-point lead over Biden.

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